Jay Powell’s Greenspan moment Stay-At-Home Macro
Adding Crushed Rock to Farmland Pulls Carbon Out of the Air (press release) UC Davis
A Field Study of Nonintrusive Load Monitoring Devices and Implications for Load Disaggregation Sensors. From the Abstact: “This paper describes a field evaluation of a state-of-the-art [Nonintrusive Load Monitoring (NILM)] product, tested in eight homes… Overall, the product had good performance in disaggregating the energy consumption of the electric water heaters, which included both electric resistance and heat-pump water heaters, but only a fair accuracy with refrigerators, dryers, and air conditioners. The performance was poor for cooking equipment, furnace fans, clothes washers, and dishwashers. Moreover, the product was often unable to detect major loads in homes. Typically, two or more appliances were not detected in a home. At least two dryers, furnace fans, and air conditioners went undetected across the eight homes. On the other hand, the dishwasher was detected in all homes where available or monitored.” For a discussion of NILM, including privacy concerns, see here.
A molnupiravir-associated mutational signature in global SARS-CoV-2 genomes Nature. From the Main section: “During the approval process for molnupiravir, concerns were raised about its potential to increase the rate of evolution of variants of concern. In response, it was noted that no infectious virus had been isolated at or beyond day five of molnupiravir treatment, and that mutations recovered following treatment were random with no evidence of selection-based bias. During analysis of divergent SARS-CoV-2 sequences, signs of molnupiravir-driven mutagenesis have been note, including indications of possible transmission.” In English, also from Nature (paywalled): “Anti-COVID drug accelerates viral evolution.” See NC, January 1, 2022.
China’s top diplomat Wang Yi starts US visit as Biden stands firm Channel News Asia
Of course there’s a plan; see Yves here:
There’s no “post war” plan because it’s looking increasingly likely this isn’t a “war” but a campaign of total, or significant, forcible population transfer of Palestinians out of Palestinian and into the Sinai. The post war plan for Gaza is that there is no Gaza. https://t.co/bPwhmAb53f
— Adam H. Johnson (@adamjohnsonCHI) October 25, 2023
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Why the IDF will struggle to ‘neutralise’ Gaza’s tunnels Indian Express. Lots of good detail. “According to John Spencer of the US Military Academy West Point, the sheer scale of the tunnel system underneath Gaza poses a ‘wicked problem’ for which ‘no perfect solution exists’, and overcoming which, ‘will require a lot of time.’” On “wicked problems,” see Armed Forces Journal here.
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No takers for a West Asian war but war seems inevitable India Punchline. From last week, on Iran.
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Blinken asked Qatar to ‘tone down’ Al Jazeera’s Gaza war coverage: Report Anadolu Agency. What does Blinken think Al Jazeera is? The New York Times?
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Slovakia forms coalition government with pro-Russian party Anadolu Agency
New Not-So-Cold War
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Could Ukraine take back Russian-occupied Crimea? Christian Science Monitor
Russia Drops Mines as It Renews Efforts to Disrupt Ukrainian Shipping The Maritime Executive
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Ukraine’s ‘Lethal’ Intelligence Operations Straining CIA Ties – The Washington Post Kyiv Post. And the CIA has a strong stomach.
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Franklin Graham is CEO of the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association
He says he currently has personnel on the ground in Israel
In 2018, Graham proclaimed that the modern Israeli state is a fulfillment of God’s prophecy for Christ to return and establish His throne in Jerusalem pic.twitter.com/V7E7RJFvMn
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) October 24, 2023
What to know about new House Speaker Mike Johnson Axios. Mike Johnson, R-Brylcream. That “what to know” locution is all over everything like kudzu and I hate it. What to know? Sez you!
Last night after being elected candidate for Speaker, Congressman Mike Johnson asked the Republican conference to bow their heads and join him in prayer.
We need more leaders like this in DC 🙏🏻 pic.twitter.com/Ja05Bbj6IS
— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) October 25, 2023
Justice Thomas’s R.V. Loan Was Forgiven, Senate Inquiry Finds NYT. That’s how cheap a Supreme Court justice comes? An RV?
Crypto Is Lobbying Congress Hard. It Wants More Than a Bitcoin ETF. Barron’s. The deck: “The crypto industry wants laws passed that clarify how it will be regulated.” Regulated out of existence, would be my view.
Hannity on mass shooting: What is your plan? What do you do? I have a personal security plan. I train in mixed martial arts. pic.twitter.com/Of0l1bpAGL
— Acyn (@Acyn) October 26, 2023
So, Hannity recommends a personal risk assessment. Turn that coin over and you have stochastic eugenicism, wherever you look.
Imperial Collapse Watch
What they mean when they say America is ‘indispensable’ Responsible Statecraft
Realignment and Legitimacy
Ford and UAW reach tentative labor deal that would end strike at automaker Axios. “Tentative” because the membership hasn’t voted it in. Seems to eliminate two-tier, but all the coverage I’ve seen is a little vague on that.
Americans Have Never Been Wealthier & No One is Happy A Wealth of Common Sense
Sex and the Single Witch JSTOR
Our favorite bittersweet symphonies may help us deal better with physical pain (press release) Université de Montréal
Antidote du jour (via):
Baby goats. They are so funny 😂 pic.twitter.com/qHD0RMngsn
— Funny animal show (@funnyanimalsh) October 25, 2023
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.